Risk and Impact Assessment of Extreme Precipitation and Flooding Using High-Resolution Numerical Weather Simulations

Extreme weather events—including intense rainfall, flash flooding, and severe lightning—pose growing threats to communities and critical infrastructure. In our lab, we run high-resolution regional weather simulations using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to capture the fine-scale atmospheric dynamics driving these storms. The goal of this project is to translate these complex physics-based model outputs into actionable impact and risk assessments. 

Students will work directly with multi-dimensional WRF simulation outputs alongside observational datasets, such as lightning detection networks, flood inundation records, and historical storm damage logs. Depending on their experience level and interests, students can contribute across several tracks:

  • Data Extraction & Validation: Processing raw WRF outputs (e.g., precipitation rates, wind and cloud fields) and benchmarking them against ground observations and RADAR/satellite records.
  • Hazard & Correlation Analysis: Investigating physical relationships within the model data, such as how lightning activity or urban land-use features correlate with extreme rainfall intensity and flash flood susceptibility.
  • Risk Modeling & Machine Learning: Developing statistical models or machine learning pipelines to predict damaging weather impacts and map regional vulnerability.

Students will be paired with PhD and postdoctoral researchers, as well as a faculty mentor to scope a self-contained sub-project matched to their coding and analytical background.

 

Name of research group, project, or lab
Atmospheric Modeling Group
Why join this research group or lab?

You will learn how to work with massive, real-world numerical weather prediction output from state-of-the-art regional climate model and turn them into practical risk insights for disaster resilience.

Our group (the Atmospheric Modeling Group) works at the intersection of atmospheric physics, environmental engineering, high-performance computing, and applied machine learning. Because we maintain an active suite of regional simulations, students can jump straight into analysis without waiting weeks to generate data. Beyond extreme precipitation and flood risk, ongoing research in our lab includes coupled meso-to-microscale wind energy modeling, urban air quality and aerosol dynamics, and transboundary pollution exposure, offering a collaborative environment where computational methods are applied to high-impact environmental challenges.

Logistics Information:
Project categories
Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering
Applied and Computational Mathematics and Statistics
Civil & Environmental Engineering & Earth Sciences
Student ranks applicable
First Year
Sophomore
Junior
Senior
Graduate Student
Student qualifications

Open to: First-Year Students, Sophomores, Juniors, Seniors, and Master’s Students (Tasks scale from foundational data processing and visualization for newer students to independent statistical/ML modeling for advanced students.)

Recommended Majors: Civil & Environmental Engineering, Computer Science, Data Science, Applied Mathematics, Statistics, Physics, or related quantitative disciplines. (Familiarity with Python, R, or MATLAB is helpful, though motivated beginners ready to learn scientific programming are welcome.)

Hours per week
1 credit / 3-6 hours
2 credits / 6-12 hours
Compensation
Research for Credit
Number of openings
2
Techniques learned

Numerical Weather Model Post-Processing: Extracting, slicing, and analyzing gridded, multi-dimensional WRF output files (NetCDF) using scientific Python (xarray, wrf-python, numpy, pandas).

Geospatial & Multi-Source Data Integration: Aligning high-resolution model grids with GIS layers, lightning strike logs, flood maps, and historical damage databases (geopandas, rasterio).

Statistical & Machine Learning Risk Analysis: Extreme value analysis, model bias evaluation, spatial clustering, and predictive hazard modeling.

Scientific Visualization: Building high-resolution meteorological maps, time-series diagnostics, and clear data summaries for research publications and presentations.

 

Project start
Spring semester 2027
Contact Information:
Mentor
pcrippa@nd.edu
Assistant Professor
Name of project director or principal investigator
Paola Crippa
Email address of project director or principal investigator
pcrippa@nd.edu
2 sp. | 0 appl.
Hours per week
1 credit / 3-6 hours (+1)
1 credit / 3-6 hours2 credits / 6-12 hours
Project categories
Civil & Environmental Engineering & Earth Sciences (+2)
Aerospace and Mechanical EngineeringApplied and Computational Mathematics and StatisticsCivil & Environmental Engineering & Earth Sciences